WEATHER in crisis: African heat hits Italy in October

 

WEATHER in crisis: African heat hits Italy in October


The African heat waves that occur in early October in Italy represent an increasingly common meteorological phenomenon.

These heat waves are characterized by high temperatures that, despite autumn having already begun, seem to recall summer, with peaks that can reach 30°C or even exceed it, especially in areas of Southern Italy and the Main Islands such as Sardinia and Sicily.   The phenomenon of “African heat” occurs due to the rise of hot air masses from North Africa, pushed towards the Mediterranean basin by a high-pressure field.

These conditions favor the stagnation of heat over much of the country, with a significant increase in temperatures compared to seasonal averages.

In early October, this type of heat wave may seem unusual, but it is becoming more frequent, also due to climate change.   The intense heat not only brings physical discomfort and health problems, especially for vulnerable people, but also has long-term consequences for the ecosystem and the atmosphere.

One of the main concerns regarding out-of-season heat waves is the accumulation of thermal energy in the sea and atmosphere.

This excess energy can be crucial when new disturbances form, especially those coming from the Atlantic.   Atlantic disturbances, loaded with moisture and with well-defined low-pressure systems, can find a “fertile ground” in an already overheated atmosphere.

When these cooler and more unstable air masses meet the hot and dense air that lingers over Italy, ideal conditions are created for extreme phenomena, such as violent thunderstorms, downpours, and strong gusts of wind.

The excess energy generated by the heat can intensify these disturbances, making weather phenomena more violent and difficult to predict accurately.   The arrival of Atlantic disturbances, typical of the autumn season, therefore risks clashing with an abnormal atmosphere, still full of heat.

This can lead to episodes of severe bad weather, with torrential rains, flash floods, and hailstorms.

The accumulation of thermal energy in the Mediterranean Sea, which at this time of year should be cooler, contributes to the intensification of thunderstorms, increasing their power and the amount of rain released in short periods.   Another side effect of abnormal heat is related to drought.

Although the intense heat of October does not last as long as that of summer, it can prolong dry periods, especially if subsequent disturbances are concentrated in specific areas and not evenly distributed across the territory.

In this way, contrasts are created between areas that continue to suffer from drought and others that, instead, are hit by extreme bad weather phenomena.   The most vulnerable regions are certainly those of Southern Italy and the Main Islands, where African heat is more intense and persistent.

However, even Northern Italy and Central Italy could see an increase in abnormal temperatures, with direct consequences on water resource management and hydrogeological risk.

The plains of the Po, for example, could experience a combination of out-of-season heat and intense precipitation, with a significant impact on agriculture and infrastructure.   Globally, out-of-season heat is a worrying sign of how climate change is affecting normal weather patterns.

The Mediterranean Sea is warming at an increasingly rapid pace, and this directly affects the formation and intensity of atmospheric phenomena.

Italy, being at the center of this climatic area, is particularly exposed to the consequences of these changes.   the early October African heat wave is not just a seasonal anomaly, but could represent a real threat to the climatic and meteorological balance of the Mediterranean.

The accumulation of heat in the atmosphere and sea risks exacerbating the effects of autumn disturbances, turning bad weather episodes into real extreme events with unpredictable consequences.
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